Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 31%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
22°C or below
$592 거래량
<1%
23°C
$340 거래량
<1%
24°C
$437 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,131 거래량
1%
26°C
$343 거래량
3%
27°C
$906 거래량
31%
28°C
$495 거래량
27%
29°C
$462 거래량
31%
30°C
$556 거래량
14%
31°C
$338 거래량
2%
32°C or higher
$548 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$6,089종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문