Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 15?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 거래량
$94,570 거래량
2026.05.15
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,570 거래량
$94,570 거래량
2026.05.15
23°C or below
$1,651 거래량
No
24°C
$1,417 거래량
No
25°C
$897 거래량
No
26°C
$1,094 거래량
No
27°C
$1,767 거래량
No
28°C
$2,878 거래량
No
29°C
$27,748 거래량
Yes
30°C
$19,991 거래량
No
31°C
$15,095 거래량
No
32°C
$10,263 거래량
No
33°C or higher
$11,770 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$94,570종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$94,570종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 15, 2026, driven by official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations at Changi Airport—the market's sole resolution station—peaking at 29°C amid widespread thundery showers and cloudy skies that sharply limited solar insolation and daytime convective heating. NEA reports confirm heavy rainfall totals exceeding 80 mm in areas like Pasir Ris, aligning with inter-monsoon conditions forecasted for May's first half, where frequent showers have moderated early-month highs from 35°C+ to mid-30s or below. Historical May daily maxima average 31–33°C, but today's persistent cloud cover suppressed potential intensification. A realistic challenge would require an upward data revision from late-evening clearance or measurement adjustment, though NEA's real-time station logs through evening make this improbable. Final historical records update expected by month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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