Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a typical mid-May subtropical pattern over Taipei, with a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge supporting daytime highs near 30–32°C through enhanced solar heating and light winds. Scattered showers from the early Meiyu front could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals would allow readings to reach 31–33°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data place the May climatological average high at 28.5–30°C, making the market's near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and sea-breeze strength on the 19th. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs through May 18 will refine these details ahead of official observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온?
31°C 30%
32°C 23%
30°C 18%
29°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
23%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 30%
32°C 23%
30°C 18%
29°C 15%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
23%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and ensemble models indicate a typical mid-May subtropical pattern over Taipei, with a strengthening Pacific high-pressure ridge supporting daytime highs near 30–32°C through enhanced solar heating and light winds. Scattered showers from the early Meiyu front could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals would allow readings to reach 31–33°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data place the May climatological average high at 28.5–30°C, making the market's near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and sea-breeze strength on the 19th. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs through May 18 will refine these details ahead of official observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문