Trader consensus has firmly settled on 24°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16, driven by official observations from Israeli meteorological networks confirming a daytime peak that matched seasonal Mediterranean norms without significant heat advection. Stable high-pressure systems and light winds limited diurnal warming, while global forecast models showed consistent agreement on minimal urban heat island effects or anomalous warming. With resolution now based on verified daily maximum data, outcomes of 25°C or higher would have required unexpected local factors such as unpredicted cloud cover changes or measurement revisions, none of which materialized in the final reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,704 거래량
$38,704 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,704 거래량
$38,704 거래량
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus has firmly settled on 24°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 16, driven by official observations from Israeli meteorological networks confirming a daytime peak that matched seasonal Mediterranean norms without significant heat advection. Stable high-pressure systems and light winds limited diurnal warming, while global forecast models showed consistent agreement on minimal urban heat island effects or anomalous warming. With resolution now based on verified daily maximum data, outcomes of 25°C or higher would have required unexpected local factors such as unpredicted cloud cover changes or measurement revisions, none of which materialized in the final reports.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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