Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 28%
33°C 7.8%
32°C <1%
$33,630 거래량
$33,630 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
67%
35°C or higher 67%
34°C 28%
33°C 7.8%
32°C <1%
$33,630 거래량
$33,630 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
28%
35°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, positioning the 35°C or higher outcome as the market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Clear skies combined with limited sea-breeze influence through midday are expected to accelerate surface warming well above typical May climatological norms of 26–28°C for Tel Aviv. This shift follows cooler maxima of 24–25°C recorded on May 15–16, a change now reflected in trader positioning. Final model runs and real-time observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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