Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,514 거래량
$68,514 거래량
2026.05.17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$68,514 거래량
$68,514 거래량
2026.05.17
25°C or below
$10,465 거래량
<1%
26°C
$2,768 거래량
<1%
27°C
$4,321 거래량
<1%
28°C
$2,408 거래량
<1%
29°C
$2,721 거래량
<1%
30°C
$4,265 거래량
<1%
31°C
$3,971 거래량
<1%
32°C
$8,783 거래량
<1%
33°C
$7,810 거래량
<1%
34°C
$8,510 거래량
<1%
35°C or higher
$12,926 거래량
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$68,514종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$68,514종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent meteorological data and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service show a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, driving clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that favor rapid daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain. These conditions have produced surface temperatures already approaching or exceeding 32 °C by mid-morning, with forecast guidance indicating afternoon maxima comfortably above 35 °C before any evening sea-breeze moderation. Historical May climatology for the region places average daily highs near 26–28 °C, making the current anomaly statistically notable yet consistent with recent warming trends observed in the Levant. The 99.9 % market-implied probability for 35 °C or higher therefore reflects this robust consensus across ensemble forecasts, though a sudden influx of marine air or unmodeled convective development could still shave a degree or two from the peak.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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