Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,902 거래량
$70,902 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$70,902 거래량
$70,902 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market’s near-certain consensus that Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on May 17 will reach 35 °C or higher. Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models show clear skies with minimal cloud cover and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday, allowing rapid surface warming that exceeds the May climatological average of 26–28 °C. Recent cooler readings of 24–25 °C on May 15–16 have given way to this warming trend, reflected in trader positioning backed by real capital. The dominant outcome could still shift if late-afternoon convective clouds develop, a stronger onshore flow arrives earlier than modeled, or official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport fall short of forecast peaks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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