Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
30°C 39%
31°C 32.6%
32°C or higher 16.6%
29°C 13%
$11,100 거래량
$11,100 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
39%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 39%
31°C 32.6%
32°C or higher 16.6%
29°C 13%
$11,100 거래량
$11,100 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
39%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Israeli Meteorological Service indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the narrow gap between 30°C and 32°C or higher because small shifts in afternoon cloud development or a slight backing of the wind could add or subtract 1–2°C by peak heating time around 1400 local.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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