Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Kanto plain where daily highs typically range from 24 °C to 28 °C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 28 °C reflects this forecast convergence and the limited time remaining for major revisions before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly flow, or an earlier sea-breeze onset could cap temperatures one degree lower, while any delay in the ridge breakdown might allow a brief push toward 29 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 99.5%
30°C or higher <1%
29°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$68,813 거래량
$68,813 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.5%
30°C or higher <1%
29°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$68,813 거래량
$68,813 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
$2,924 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,793 거래량
<1%
22°C
$819 거래량
<1%
23°C
$5,290 거래량
<1%
24°C
$8,445 거래량
<1%
25°C
$7,219 거래량
<1%
26°C
$9,560 거래량
<1%
27°C
$9,992 거래량
<1%
28°C
$8,315 거래량
100%
29°C
$5,913 거래량
<1%
30°C or higher
$8,906 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Kanto plain where daily highs typically range from 24 °C to 28 °C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 28 °C reflects this forecast convergence and the limited time remaining for major revisions before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly flow, or an earlier sea-breeze onset could cap temperatures one degree lower, while any delay in the ridge breakdown might allow a brief push toward 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$68,813종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Kanto plain where daily highs typically range from 24 °C to 28 °C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 28 °C reflects this forecast convergence and the limited time remaining for major revisions before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly flow, or an earlier sea-breeze onset could cap temperatures one degree lower, while any delay in the ridge breakdown might allow a brief push toward 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$68,813종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts place Tokyo’s maximum temperature on May 17 near 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on this value, consistent with mid-May climatology for the Kanto plain where daily highs typically range from 24 °C to 28 °C. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 28 °C reflects this forecast convergence and the limited time remaining for major revisions before the daily maximum is recorded. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly flow, or an earlier sea-breeze onset could cap temperatures one degree lower, while any delay in the ridge breakdown might allow a brief push toward 29 °C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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