Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region, bringing clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation that should push Tokyo’s afternoon maximum above 28°C on May 18. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology when subtropical air masses occasionally deliver late-spring warmth, with historical analogs showing occasional peaks near 30°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could still modulate the peak. The final Japan Meteorological Agency observation at the Haneda station will determine resolution, with traders closely monitoring the next model run for any adjustments to this warm signal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C or higher 74%
27°C 22%
26°C 6.9%
25°C 1.6%
신규
$24,625 거래량
신규
$24,625 거래량
2026.05.18
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C or higher
74%
28°C or higher 74%
27°C 22%
26°C 6.9%
25°C 1.6%
신규
$24,625 거래량
신규
$24,625 거래량
2026.05.18
18°C or below
$2,106 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,432 거래량
<1%
20°C
$1,081 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,264 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,918 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,368 거래량
<1%
24°C
$3,675 거래량
<1%
25°C
$3,139 거래량
2%
26°C
$2,794 거래량
7%
27°C
$2,047 거래량
22%
28°C or higher
$3,120 거래량
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region, bringing clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation that should push Tokyo’s afternoon maximum above 28°C on May 18. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology when subtropical air masses occasionally deliver late-spring warmth, with historical analogs showing occasional peaks near 30°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could still modulate the peak. The final Japan Meteorological Agency observation at the Haneda station will determine resolution, with traders closely monitoring the next model run for any adjustments to this warm signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$24,625종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region, bringing clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation that should push Tokyo’s afternoon maximum above 28°C on May 18. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology when subtropical air masses occasionally deliver late-spring warmth, with historical analogs showing occasional peaks near 30°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could still modulate the peak. The final Japan Meteorological Agency observation at the Haneda station will determine resolution, with traders closely monitoring the next model run for any adjustments to this warm signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,625종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models highlight a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region, bringing clear skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced solar insolation that should push Tokyo’s afternoon maximum above 28°C on May 18. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology when subtropical air masses occasionally deliver late-spring warmth, with historical analogs showing occasional peaks near 30°C under similar anticyclonic conditions. Current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 20s Celsius, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind direction could still modulate the peak. The final Japan Meteorological Agency observation at the Haneda station will determine resolution, with traders closely monitoring the next model run for any adjustments to this warm signal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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