Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 14일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 14일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
11°C 32%
12°C 28%
13°C 19%
14°C 이상 17%
신규
$28,640 거래량
신규
$28,640 거래량
2026.05.14
4°C 이하
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
32%
12°C
28%
13°C
19%
14°C 이상
17%
11°C 32%
12°C 28%
13°C 19%
14°C 이상 17%
신규
$28,640 거래량
신규
$28,640 거래량
2026.05.14
4°C 이하
$4,310 거래량
<1%
5°C
$947 거래량
<1%
6°C
$2,130 거래량
<1%
7°C
$1,394 거래량
<1%
8°C
$2,665 거래량
1%
9°C
$3,768 거래량
2%
10°C
$2,847 거래량
12%
11°C
$2,701 거래량
32%
12°C
$1,696 거래량
28%
13°C
$2,130 거래량
19%
14°C 이상
$4,084 거래량
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$28,640종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,640종료일
2026.05.14마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETEnvironment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued May 13 afternoon, projects a high of 13°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on May 14 amid persistent northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h, cloudy skies, and 40% chance of showers, capping temperatures below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 11°C (32% implied probability) over 12°C (27%) or 13°C (19%), reflecting uncertainty in forecast models where thicker cloud decks or enhanced shower activity from an upper-level trough could suppress daytime heating to 10-11°C, while partial clearing might permit 12-13°C peaks. Recent observations—12°C highs on May 12-13—underscore this cool pattern driven by northerly flow; hourly data tomorrow will clarify the outcome as boundary-layer mixing and insolation interact.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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