Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlight a warming trend over Toronto driven by southwesterly flow and abundant insolation under mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near 24–26 °C at Pearson Airport. This scientific consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 25 °C holding the lead at 35.5 percent while 26 °C and 27 °C or higher remain within a few points, reflecting residual uncertainty in peak timing and localized variations. Historical May baselines around 18–20 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders will monitor final hourly readings for resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 토론토에서 가장 높은 기온?
25°C 39%
26°C 28.2%
27°C 이상 24.7%
24°C 11%
$35,694 거래량
$35,694 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25°C
39%
26°C
28%
27°C 이상
25%
25°C 39%
26°C 28.2%
27°C 이상 24.7%
24°C 11%
$35,694 거래량
$35,694 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
$6,062 거래량
<1%
18°C
$2,768 거래량
<1%
19°C
$3,070 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,076 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,574 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,093 거래량
1%
23°C
$3,079 거래량
1%
24°C
$2,552 거래량
11%
25°C
$2,658 거래량
39%
26°C
$2,837 거래량
28%
27°C 이상
$5,160 거래량
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlight a warming trend over Toronto driven by southwesterly flow and abundant insolation under mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near 24–26 °C at Pearson Airport. This scientific consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 25 °C holding the lead at 35.5 percent while 26 °C and 27 °C or higher remain within a few points, reflecting residual uncertainty in peak timing and localized variations. Historical May baselines around 18–20 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders will monitor final hourly readings for resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$35,694종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlight a warming trend over Toronto driven by southwesterly flow and abundant insolation under mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near 24–26 °C at Pearson Airport. This scientific consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 25 °C holding the lead at 35.5 percent while 26 °C and 27 °C or higher remain within a few points, reflecting residual uncertainty in peak timing and localized variations. Historical May baselines around 18–20 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders will monitor final hourly readings for resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$35,694종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast models from Environment Canada and the National Weather Service highlight a warming trend over Toronto driven by southwesterly flow and abundant insolation under mostly sunny skies, positioning the official high near 24–26 °C at Pearson Airport. This scientific consensus explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 25 °C holding the lead at 35.5 percent while 26 °C and 27 °C or higher remain within a few points, reflecting residual uncertainty in peak timing and localized variations. Historical May baselines around 18–20 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, and traders will monitor final hourly readings for resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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