Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,788 거래량
$51,788 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$51,788 거래량
$51,788 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C
$11,169 거래량
100%
14°C
$8,432 거래량
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,347 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$51,788종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$51,788종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, underpinning the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for exactly 13°C. This strong consensus reflects stable springtime synoptic conditions with limited diurnal warming and modest cloud cover moderating peak temperatures near seasonal norms. Official resolution will rely on verified meteorological observations, so brief wind shifts or unexpected cloud breaks remain the main variables that could push readings to 14°C or higher, though current model agreement keeps such outcomes at low probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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