Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 18일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
14°C 54%
15°C 36%
13°C 8.2%
16°C 2.4%
신규
$22,809 거래량
신규
$22,809 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C 이하
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
54%
15°C
36%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C 이상
<1%
14°C 54%
15°C 36%
13°C 8.2%
16°C 2.4%
신규
$22,809 거래량
신규
$22,809 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C 이하
$681 거래량
<1%
9°C
$485 거래량
<1%
10°C
$540 거래량
<1%
11°C
$4,720 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,317 거래량
1%
13°C
$3,060 거래량
8%
14°C
$2,874 거래량
54%
15°C
$2,048 거래량
36%
16°C
$3,978 거래량
2%
17°C
$1,183 거래량
1%
18°C 이상
$935 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$22,809종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$22,809종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from MetService and international numerical weather prediction runs points to a daytime high of 14–15°C for Wellington on May 18, driven by a stable southerly airflow and clear to partly cloudy skies over the Cook Strait. This setup aligns with typical May climatology, where mean daily maxima hover near 14–16°C under maritime influence that limits rapid warming despite light winds and good solar insolation. Recent observations from the prior week show similar settled conditions yielding peaks of 13–15°C, reinforcing trader positioning on these two outcomes. Minor model spread exists around cloud cover timing, but no significant front or northerly shift appears likely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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