Traders see a near-even split between six and seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher for May 11–17 because global seismicity this week aligns with the USGS long-term average of five to eight such events. Steady activity along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire and scattered mid-ocean ridge quakes continues without large aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the count. Seismic catalogs show no major magnitude-7+ events yet, keeping the distribution balanced between the two leading outcomes while leaving room for final catalog revisions or additional detections before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
8 7.0%
5 1.0%
4 <1%
>9 <1%
$134,437 거래량
$134,437 거래량
2026.05.17
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
62%
7
42%
8
11%
9
<1%
>9
<1%
8 7.0%
5 1.0%
4 <1%
>9 <1%
$134,437 거래량
$134,437 거래량
2026.05.17
≤3
$57,847 거래량
<1%
4
$20,043 거래량
1%
5
$20,156 거래량
1%
6
$4,184 거래량
62%
7
$2,960 거래량
42%
8
$5,013 거래량
11%
9
$6,225 거래량
<1%
>9
$18,009 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Traders see a near-even split between six and seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher for May 11–17 because global seismicity this week aligns with the USGS long-term average of five to eight such events. Steady activity along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire and scattered mid-ocean ridge quakes continues without large aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the count. Seismic catalogs show no major magnitude-7+ events yet, keeping the distribution balanced between the two leading outcomes while leaving room for final catalog revisions or additional detections before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$134,437종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Traders see a near-even split between six and seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher for May 11–17 because global seismicity this week aligns with the USGS long-term average of five to eight such events. Steady activity along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire and scattered mid-ocean ridge quakes continues without large aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the count. Seismic catalogs show no major magnitude-7+ events yet, keeping the distribution balanced between the two leading outcomes while leaving room for final catalog revisions or additional detections before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
거래량
$134,437종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a near-even split between six and seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher for May 11–17 because global seismicity this week aligns with the USGS long-term average of five to eight such events. Steady activity along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire and scattered mid-ocean ridge quakes continues without large aftershock sequences or unusual clustering that would elevate the count. Seismic catalogs show no major magnitude-7+ events yet, keeping the distribution balanced between the two leading outcomes while leaving room for final catalog revisions or additional detections before the period closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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