Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 94.0%
23°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C 이하 <1%
$64,048 거래량
$64,048 거래량
2026.05.15
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
94%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94.0%
23°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C 이하 <1%
$64,048 거래량
$64,048 거래량
2026.05.15
18°C 이하
$2,541 거래량
<1%
19°C
$2,325 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,408 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,288 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,899 거래량
<1%
23°C
$5,193 거래량
1%
24°C
$12,287 거래량
<1%
25°C
$8,751 거래량
94%
26°C
$12,015 거래량
<1%
27°C
$8,229 거래량
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,112 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$64,048종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$64,048종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a 25°C minimum on May 15, anchoring the overwhelming market consensus around this precise outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May overnight lows typically range 24–27°C beneath persistent high pressure from the South China Sea, with limited diurnal cooling due to urban heat retention and cloud cover. This verified station reading from the primary observatory site aligns closely with climatological baselines and recent model guidance, leaving little room for deviation. Realistic scenarios that could have shifted the result include an unexpected early-morning clear-sky window combined with calm winds, potentially allowing a brief dip to 24°C, though such conditions did not materialize.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문