Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 홍콩에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
5월 18일 홍콩에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
28%
25°C
31%
26°C
19%
27°C
2%
28°C 이상
1%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
18°C 이하
$314 거래량
<1%
19°C
$379 거래량
<1%
20°C
$153 거래량
1%
21°C
$118 거래량
1%
22°C
$120 거래량
4%
23°C
$6 거래량
7%
24°C
$3 거래량
28%
25°C
$35 거래량
31%
26°C
$10 거래량
19%
27°C
$132 거래량
2%
28°C 이상
$261 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$1,531종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,531종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETEnsemble weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasting centers show the lowest temperature on May 18 likely settling between 24°C and 26°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge over southern China that allows modest southerly flow and marine air influence. Nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with typical urban heat retention in the region, keeps the floor above seasonal norms for mid-May while limiting deeper drops. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise wind speed forecasts and boundary-layer moisture, which affect how much heat escapes overnight; any shift in the subtropical ridge position or unexpected cloud cover could tip readings toward 23°C or 27°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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