Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position the overnight minimum near 24°C under a moist southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical May climatological lows around 24°C while elevated humidity and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure trough further suppress any deeper nocturnal drop. Recent mid-20s readings and the season’s warm anomaly, combined with urban heat-island effects at the official station, reinforce trader consensus behind the 24°C outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Short-range model updates tonight will refine the final calibration before the official minimum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 홍콩 최저 기온?
5월 16일 홍콩 최저 기온?
24°C 88%
23°C 9%
22°C 2.8%
18°C 이하 <1%
$17,220 거래량
$17,220 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
88%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
24°C 88%
23°C 9%
22°C 2.8%
18°C 이하 <1%
$17,220 거래량
$17,220 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C 이하
$1,579 거래량
<1%
19°C
$877 거래량
<1%
20°C
$613 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,620 거래량
<1%
22°C
$793 거래량
3%
23°C
$796 거래량
9%
24°C
$501 거래량
88%
25°C
$3,545 거래량
<1%
26°C
$4,044 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,322 거래량
<1%
28°C 이상
$1,530 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position the overnight minimum near 24°C under a moist southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical May climatological lows around 24°C while elevated humidity and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure trough further suppress any deeper nocturnal drop. Recent mid-20s readings and the season’s warm anomaly, combined with urban heat-island effects at the official station, reinforce trader consensus behind the 24°C outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Short-range model updates tonight will refine the final calibration before the official minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$17,220종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts position the overnight minimum near 24°C under a moist southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical May climatological lows around 24°C while elevated humidity and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure trough further suppress any deeper nocturnal drop. Recent mid-20s readings and the season’s warm anomaly, combined with urban heat-island effects at the official station, reinforce trader consensus behind the 24°C outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Short-range model updates tonight will refine the final calibration before the official minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$17,220종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETHong Kong Observatory forecasts position the overnight minimum near 24°C under a moist southerly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical May climatological lows around 24°C while elevated humidity and scattered showers from an approaching low-pressure trough further suppress any deeper nocturnal drop. Recent mid-20s readings and the season’s warm anomaly, combined with urban heat-island effects at the official station, reinforce trader consensus behind the 24°C outcome at 85.5% implied probability. Short-range model updates tonight will refine the final calibration before the official minimum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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