Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 홍콩 최저 기온?
5월 17일 홍콩 최저 기온?
23°C 99.6%
18°C 이하 <1%
28°C 이상 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,500 거래량
$28,500 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18°C 이하 <1%
28°C 이상 <1%
19°C <1%
$28,500 거래량
$28,500 거래량
2026.05.17
18°C 이하
$1,271 거래량
<1%
19°C
$1,089 거래량
<1%
20°C
$672 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,816 거래량
<1%
22°C
$2,815 거래량
<1%
23°C
$6,443 거래량
100%
24°C
$7,748 거래량
<1%
25°C
$2,338 거래량
<1%
26°C
$1,117 거래량
<1%
27°C
$795 거래량
<1%
28°C 이상
$2,396 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$28,500종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,500종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather models converge on a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a light northeasterly flow that limits mixing of warmer air. This consensus reflects typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where historical May overnight lows often fall between 22–25°C amid subtropical high pressure and moist easterly influences. Traders have priced the 23°C outcome at full implied probability because recent model runs show minimal spread and align closely with observational baselines. A sudden increase in cloud cover or shift to stronger winds could still allow the recorded low to deviate by a degree or two before official confirmation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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