Persistent warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida, combined with light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, are sustaining elevated overnight minima and positioning the 78-79°F bracket as the market leader at 46% implied probability for Miami’s June 14 low. National Weather Service and model guidance align with mid-June climatology, showing typical upper-70s to low-80s readings without signals for stronger onshore winds or clear-sky radiative cooling that would favor 76-77°F (28%). Recent verification from nearby June dates reinforces this range, with traders discounting sub-76°F outcomes given the absence of atypical frontal passages or drier air masses. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the day will refine final resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 마이애미에서 가장 낮은 기온?
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 9%
74-75°F 8%
67°F 이하
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F 이상
<1%
78-79°F 45%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 9%
74-75°F 8%
67°F 이하
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near South Florida, combined with light southeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, are sustaining elevated overnight minima and positioning the 78-79°F bracket as the market leader at 46% implied probability for Miami’s June 14 low. National Weather Service and model guidance align with mid-June climatology, showing typical upper-70s to low-80s readings without signals for stronger onshore winds or clear-sky radiative cooling that would favor 76-77°F (28%). Recent verification from nearby June dates reinforces this range, with traders discounting sub-76°F outcomes given the absence of atypical frontal passages or drier air masses. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the day will refine final resolution criteria.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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