Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 24%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
23°C 15%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
16°C or below
$303 거래량
<1%
17°C
$491 거래량
1%
18°C
$338 거래량
2%
19°C
$313 거래량
8%
20°C
$105 거래량
19%
21°C
$118 거래량
24%
22°C
$141 거래량
24%
23°C
$140 거래량
15%
24°C
$491 거래량
6%
25°C
$1,307 거래량
4%
26°C or higher
$529 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
거래량
$4,079종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,079종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and yr.no points to a Moscow high near 21–22°C on June 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and isolated showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted boundary-layer moisture and timing of any convective activity, which can trim or boost peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover near 21–22°C, placing current guidance close to climatology, while the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–23°C reflects this modest forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong blocking patterns that would produce larger deviations. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of June 14 will likely refine the final distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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