**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 13일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 13일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
72-73°F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.9%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 거래량
$29,026 거래량
2026.06.13
63°F 이하
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F 이상
<1%
72-73°F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.9%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 거래량
$29,026 거래량
2026.06.13
63°F 이하
$1,016 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$10,515 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$2,160 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$2,341 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$1,243 거래량
3%
72-73°F
$3,074 거래량
98%
74-75°F
$1,613 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$2,329 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$1,656 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$1,450 거래량
<1%
82°F 이상
$1,629 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
거래량
$29,026종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$29,026종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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