Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29–30°C for Guangzhou on June 15, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and a rainstorm warning that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages around 31–32°C, with model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international outlooks emphasizing overcast skies and precipitation that reduce diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 29–30°C because recent forecast updates have reinforced this range, while lower or higher outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a sharp warming shift not supported by current atmospheric patterns ahead of tomorrow’s official reading at Baiyun Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 15?
30°C 36%
29°C 24%
31°C 18%
28°C 17%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
24%
30°C
36%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 36%
29°C 24%
31°C 18%
28°C 17%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
24%
30°C
36%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29–30°C for Guangzhou on June 15, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and a rainstorm warning that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages around 31–32°C, with model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international outlooks emphasizing overcast skies and precipitation that reduce diurnal warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 29–30°C because recent forecast updates have reinforced this range, while lower or higher outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a sharp warming shift not supported by current atmospheric patterns ahead of tomorrow’s official reading at Baiyun Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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