Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 도쿄에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
5월 17일 도쿄에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
18°C 99.5%
14°C 이하 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 거래량
$15,553 거래량
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
18°C 99.5%
14°C 이하 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 거래량
$15,553 거래량
2026.05.17
14°C 이하
$1,131 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,394 거래량
<1%
16°C
$823 거래량
<1%
17°C
$1,154 거래량
<1%
18°C
$3,467 거래량
100%
19°C
$1,778 거래량
<1%
20°C
$3,776 거래량
<1%
21°C
$564 거래량
<1%
22°C
$382 거래량
<1%
23°C
$688 거래량
<1%
24°C 이상
$396 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
거래량
$15,553종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$15,553종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a nighttime low of 18°C for Tokyo on May 17, underpinning the market’s near-certain consensus on this threshold. Mid-May climatology for the Kanto region typically features lows between 15–18°C under dominant subtropical high pressure, with ensemble runs showing tight agreement and low spread in the final 12–24 hours. Urban heat-island effects and calm winds further stabilize readings near this level. Only an unforecast cold-air intrusion or rapid frontal passage could push the minimum below 18°C, scenarios current guidance assigns negligible probability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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