The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$25,716 거래량
$25,716 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
83%
공화당
16%
$25,716 거래량
$25,716 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,381 거래량
83%
공화당
$8,334 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$25,716종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$25,716종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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