Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) showing 73.79% participation among 27.3 million registered voters, with 20.2 million votes cast amid 7.2 million abstentions. This aligns closely with 2021's 74% turnout, driven by persistent voter apathy from political fragmentation—35 candidates split the field—and distrust in institutions, despite compulsory voting fines. Logistical delays extended voting to a second day for over 50,000 voters but had negligible impact, as confirmed by EU observers. With 99.97% of acts tabulated by mid-May and the Jury of Elections (JNE) rejecting annulment calls on April 24, final certification for the June 7 runoff is imminent; only a major recount adjustment could shift the bin, though evidence points to stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트70-75% 96.0%
80~85% <1%
75-80% <1%
70% 미만 <1%
$259,088 거래량
$259,088 거래량
70% 미만
<1%
70-75%
96%
75-80%
<1%
80~85%
1%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 96.0%
80~85% <1%
75-80% <1%
70% 미만 <1%
$259,088 거래량
$259,088 거래량
70% 미만
<1%
70-75%
96%
75-80%
<1%
80~85%
1%
> 85%
<1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% turnout in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) showing 73.79% participation among 27.3 million registered voters, with 20.2 million votes cast amid 7.2 million abstentions. This aligns closely with 2021's 74% turnout, driven by persistent voter apathy from political fragmentation—35 candidates split the field—and distrust in institutions, despite compulsory voting fines. Logistical delays extended voting to a second day for over 50,000 voters but had negligible impact, as confirmed by EU observers. With 99.97% of acts tabulated by mid-May and the Jury of Elections (JNE) rejecting annulment calls on April 24, final certification for the June 7 runoff is imminent; only a major recount adjustment could shift the bin, though evidence points to stability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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