KPRF maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established regional networks and track record in single-mandate districts despite recent polling volatility. State-linked VCIOM surveys place New People ahead at around 13-17 percent, capitalizing on appeals to younger and middle-class voters amid economic pressures, yet FOM face-to-face data keep it below KPRF and LDPR. The latter has consolidated modestly since leadership transitions but trails due to organizational challenges. Party preparations, including KPRF primaries and New People’s March convention, underscore the mixed proportional and constituency system’s emphasis on local infrastructure over national polling swings. Official campaigning begins in June, with outcomes hinging on turnout and district-level dynamics in the 450-seat chamber.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 거래량
$16,158 거래량

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
25%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 3.5%
$16,158 거래량
$16,158 거래량

United Russia (ER)
4%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%

New People (NL)
25%

Rodina
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its established regional networks and track record in single-mandate districts despite recent polling volatility. State-linked VCIOM surveys place New People ahead at around 13-17 percent, capitalizing on appeals to younger and middle-class voters amid economic pressures, yet FOM face-to-face data keep it below KPRF and LDPR. The latter has consolidated modestly since leadership transitions but trails due to organizational challenges. Party preparations, including KPRF primaries and New People’s March convention, underscore the mixed proportional and constituency system’s emphasis on local infrastructure over national polling swings. Official campaigning begins in June, with outcomes hinging on turnout and district-level dynamics in the 450-seat chamber.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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