The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,613,075 거래량
$1,613,075 거래량
2026.05.31
$1,613,075 거래량
$1,613,075 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
거래량
$1,613,075종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,613,075종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The near-certain trader consensus that Donald Trump will remain president through May 31 stems from the lengthy constitutional processes required for removal or resignation, including Senate trials, cabinet invocations of the 25th Amendment, or formal announcements, none of which are underway. No recent legislative actions, court rulings, or official statements from the administration indicate any imminent departure, and historical patterns show presidents rarely exit office on such short notice absent acute crises. While sudden health events, unanticipated scandals, or last-minute diplomatic developments could theoretically shift outcomes before the deadline, these remain low-probability scenarios given the current absence of triggering conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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