In the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 19th Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 98% implied probability, building on his dominant 40.4% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—well ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's commanding position stems from superior fundraising, with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000 as of late March, bolstered by his experience as a former House Agriculture Committee staffer and law firm founder. No major developments have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, reflecting the solidly Republican district's dynamics. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez, or unexpected Hispanic voter mobilization could still alter the outcome before early voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Tom Sell 98.2%
에이브러햄 엔리케즈 1.5%
매튜 스미스 <1%
라이언 징크 <1%
$72,791 거래량
$72,791 거래량
Tom Sell
98%
에이브러햄 엔리케즈
2%
매튜 스미스
<1%
라이언 징크
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
도널드 메이
<1%
Tom Sell 98.2%
에이브러햄 엔리케즈 1.5%
매튜 스미스 <1%
라이언 징크 <1%
$72,791 거래량
$72,791 거래량
Tom Sell
98%
에이브러햄 엔리케즈
2%
매튜 스미스
<1%
라이언 징크
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
도널드 메이
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 19th Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 98% implied probability, building on his dominant 40.4% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—well ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's commanding position stems from superior fundraising, with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000 as of late March, bolstered by his experience as a former House Agriculture Committee staffer and law firm founder. No major developments have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, reflecting the solidly Republican district's dynamics. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez, or unexpected Hispanic voter mobilization could still alter the outcome before early voting begins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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