Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 66.5% victory in the May 12 Republican primary over state Sen. Tom Willis and others has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP Senate win in West Virginia's November general election. The state's deep Republican tilt—evident in former Gov. Jim Justice's 2024 landslide capture of the other Senate seat and consistent Trump double-digit margins—positions Capito strongly against Democratic nominee Fetty Anderson, a low-profile attorney who won her uncontested primary. Absent recent polls indicating competitiveness, historical base rates for red-state incumbents favor reelection. Late-breaking Capito scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could challenge odds, though such shifts remain improbable given West Virginia's entrenched GOP dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
92%
Democrat
4%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$5,808 거래량
92%
Democrat
$4,029 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 66.5% victory in the May 12 Republican primary over state Sen. Tom Willis and others has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP Senate win in West Virginia's November general election. The state's deep Republican tilt—evident in former Gov. Jim Justice's 2024 landslide capture of the other Senate seat and consistent Trump double-digit margins—positions Capito strongly against Democratic nominee Fetty Anderson, a low-profile attorney who won her uncontested primary. Absent recent polls indicating competitiveness, historical base rates for red-state incumbents favor reelection. Late-breaking Capito scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could challenge odds, though such shifts remain improbable given West Virginia's entrenched GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 66.5% victory in the May 12 Republican primary over state Sen. Tom Willis and others has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP Senate win in West Virginia's November general election. The state's deep Republican tilt—evident in former Gov. Jim Justice's 2024 landslide capture of the other Senate seat and consistent Trump double-digit margins—positions Capito strongly against Democratic nominee Fetty Anderson, a low-profile attorney who won her uncontested primary. Absent recent polls indicating competitiveness, historical base rates for red-state incumbents favor reelection. Late-breaking Capito scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could challenge odds, though such shifts remain improbable given West Virginia's entrenched GOP dominance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,837종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Shelley Moore Capito's commanding 66.5% victory in the May 12 Republican primary over state Sen. Tom Willis and others has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for a GOP Senate win in West Virginia's November general election. The state's deep Republican tilt—evident in former Gov. Jim Justice's 2024 landslide capture of the other Senate seat and consistent Trump double-digit margins—positions Capito strongly against Democratic nominee Fetty Anderson, a low-profile attorney who won her uncontested primary. Absent recent polls indicating competitiveness, historical base rates for red-state incumbents favor reelection. Late-breaking Capito scandal, health event, or national Democratic wave could challenge odds, though such shifts remain improbable given West Virginia's entrenched GOP dominance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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