Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMark Lamb 95.2%
Travis Grantham 2.7%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 Wol.
$47,624 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
Mark Lamb
95%
Travis Grantham
3%
Jay Feely
<1%
Mark Lamb 95.2%
Travis Grantham 2.7%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 Wol.
$47,624 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
Mark Lamb
$4,405 Wol.
95%
Travis Grantham
$1,365 Wol.
3%
Jay Feely
$41,854 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,624Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$47,624Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, following incumbent Andy Biggs' decision not to seek re-election. His position stems from President Trump's November 2025 endorsement, consistent polling leads—including a December internal survey showing a massive margin—and superior fundraising amid a crowded field featuring state Rep. Travis Grantham and ex-NFL kicker Jay Feely. Lamb's name recognition from prior statewide bids bolsters his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican East Valley district. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or late endorsements shifting conservative voter turnout, though barriers appear high with two months remaining.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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