The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 10 decision to hold the base rate steady at 2.50 percent amid Middle East geopolitical risks and balanced growth-inflation trade-offs continues to anchor the 97.2 percent market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers are monitoring how elevated oil prices have lifted April CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year—above the 2 percent target—while first-quarter GDP growth near 1.7 percent receives support from semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on May 3–4 and fresh inflation concerns from a new board member have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s data-dependent approach and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim odds of a hike.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 97.2%
Increase 2.8%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 Wol.
$104,152 Wol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
No Change 97.2%
Increase 2.8%
Decrease <1%
$104,152 Wol.
$104,152 Wol.
Decrease
<1%
No Change
97%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous April 10 decision to hold the base rate steady at 2.50 percent amid Middle East geopolitical risks and balanced growth-inflation trade-offs continues to anchor the 97.2 percent market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Policymakers are monitoring how elevated oil prices have lifted April CPI to 2.6 percent year-over-year—above the 2 percent target—while first-quarter GDP growth near 1.7 percent receives support from semiconductor exports. Recent hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on May 3–4 and fresh inflation concerns from a new board member have not altered trader consensus, reflecting the institution’s data-dependent approach and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI release or sharper Korean won depreciation could modestly raise the slim odds of a hike.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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