The Bank of Russia’s July 2026 cut of 25 basis points to 14% reflected a cautious easing cycle amid one-off fuel price spikes from supply disruptions, which prompted an upward revision of the 2026 inflation forecast to 6–7%. Underlying inflation measures stayed near the 4–5% annualized range, while GDP growth moderated and the 2026 output projection was trimmed to 0–1%, leaving scope for further modest loosening if price pressures prove transitory. Analysts highlight risks from sustained inflation expectations and fiscal expansion that could favor holding rates steady at the September 11 meeting, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the highest probability to no change while leaving room for another small decrease.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Russia decision in September?
No Change 63%
Decrease 38%
Increase 1.3%
$71,651 Wol.
$71,651 Wol.
Decrease
38%
No Change
63%
Increase
1%
No Change 63%
Decrease 38%
Increase 1.3%
$71,651 Wol.
$71,651 Wol.
Decrease
38%
No Change
63%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia’s July 2026 cut of 25 basis points to 14% reflected a cautious easing cycle amid one-off fuel price spikes from supply disruptions, which prompted an upward revision of the 2026 inflation forecast to 6–7%. Underlying inflation measures stayed near the 4–5% annualized range, while GDP growth moderated and the 2026 output projection was trimmed to 0–1%, leaving scope for further modest loosening if price pressures prove transitory. Analysts highlight risks from sustained inflation expectations and fiscal expansion that could favor holding rates steady at the September 11 meeting, aligning with trader pricing that assigns the highest probability to no change while leaving room for another small decrease.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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