California's 38th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Following redistricting, the seat became open, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic contenders eliminated. This outcome aligns with the district's composition spanning parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties, where Democratic registration and voting patterns in statewide races have produced wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and Solis's established profile. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen development such as a significant late scandal, health issue affecting the frontrunner, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's baseline advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$61,287 Wol.
$61,287 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$61,287 Wol.
$61,287 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,378 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$30,909 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Following redistricting, the seat became open, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic contenders eliminated. This outcome aligns with the district's composition spanning parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties, where Democratic registration and voting patterns in statewide races have produced wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and Solis's established profile. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen development such as a significant late scandal, health issue affecting the frontrunner, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,287Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Following redistricting, the seat became open, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic contenders eliminated. This outcome aligns with the district's composition spanning parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties, where Democratic registration and voting patterns in statewide races have produced wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and Solis's established profile. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen development such as a significant late scandal, health issue affecting the frontrunner, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$61,287Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district features a strong Democratic partisan lean and partisan voting index that has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Following redistricting, the seat became open, and the June 2026 top-two primary advanced former Labor Secretary Hilda Solis against Republican Pedro Casas, with other Democratic contenders eliminated. This outcome aligns with the district's composition spanning parts of Los Angeles and Orange counties, where Democratic registration and voting patterns in statewide races have produced wide margins. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and Solis's established profile. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen development such as a significant late scandal, health issue affecting the frontrunner, or an unprecedented national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district's baseline advantage.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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