Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
NOWE
August 30
31%
October 31
51%
December 31
59%
$4,465 Wol.
August 30
$1,424 Wol.
31%
October 31
$491 Wol.
51%
December 31
$415 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,465Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$4,465Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain concentrated in Texas livestock, with USDA APHIS confirming the index case in a Zavala County calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties. As of July 31, 2026, APHIS reported 37 domestically acquired animal cases nationwide, including one dog in New Mexico's Lea County but no verified livestock cases beyond Texas borders. Intensified border surveillance, sterile insect technique releases, and phased port reopenings (starting August 24 for Douglas, AZ) reflect ongoing containment efforts tied to northward pressure from Mexico. Key upcoming factors include regular APHIS dashboard updates on confirmed cases by county and species, plus any new model runs or field sampling results that could signal spread into adjacent states' cattle, goats, or sheep herds. Trader consensus hinges on whether control measures hold or surveillance identifies a livestock incursion elsewhere before resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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