National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
NOWE
$47,025 Wol.
NOWE
$47,025 Wol.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
NOWE
$47,025 Wol.
NOWE
$47,025 Wol.
May 14, 2026
37°F or below
$5,479 Wol.
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 Wol.
<1%
40-41°F
$701 Wol.
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 Wol.
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 Wol.
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,181 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$2,804 Wol.
<1%
54-55°F
$4,465 Wol.
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,511 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,025Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$47,025Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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