Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air into the Houston area today, supporting an afternoon high near 85–88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May at George Bush Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 average high on May 17 stands at 87°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 86°F-or-higher outcome at 85.9% implied probability, while cooler bins remain suppressed absent any unexpected northerly shift or increased convection. Official observations through the afternoon will confirm the daily maximum for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 85.3%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 1.8%
74-75°F <1%
$10,332 Wol.
$10,332 Wol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
13%
86°F or higher
85%
86°F or higher 85.3%
84-85°F 13%
82-83°F 1.8%
74-75°F <1%
$10,332 Wol.
$10,332 Wol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$709 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,384 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,038 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$476 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$236 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,530 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$637 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$1,018 Wol.
13%
86°F or higher
$699 Wol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air into the Houston area today, supporting an afternoon high near 85–88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May at George Bush Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 average high on May 17 stands at 87°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 86°F-or-higher outcome at 85.9% implied probability, while cooler bins remain suppressed absent any unexpected northerly shift or increased convection. Official observations through the afternoon will confirm the daily maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,332Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air into the Houston area today, supporting an afternoon high near 85–88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May at George Bush Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 average high on May 17 stands at 87°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 86°F-or-higher outcome at 85.9% implied probability, while cooler bins remain suppressed absent any unexpected northerly shift or increased convection. Official observations through the afternoon will confirm the daily maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$10,332Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUForecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a southerly flow advecting warm, moist Gulf air into the Houston area today, supporting an afternoon high near 85–88°F under partly cloudy skies with limited cloud cover and no significant frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May at George Bush Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 average high on May 17 stands at 87°F. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 86°F-or-higher outcome at 85.9% implied probability, while cooler bins remain suppressed absent any unexpected northerly shift or increased convection. Official observations through the afternoon will confirm the daily maximum for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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