**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C maximum for Lucknow on August 26, 2026, at near-certainty levels.** This positioning reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow Airport of a 32°C daytime high under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon trough influences across Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show suppressed maxima around 30–32°C amid high humidity and widespread cloud cover, aligning with seasonal norms rather than heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds treat the IMD measurement as the resolution standard, with minimal probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require substantial forecast revisions from the Regional Meteorological Centre or unseasonal clear-sky intensification pushing readings notably above or below the 32°C threshold before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,983 Wol.
$27,983 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,983 Wol.
$27,983 Wol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C maximum for Lucknow on August 26, 2026, at near-certainty levels.** This positioning reflects the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast for Lucknow Airport of a 32°C daytime high under overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with active monsoon trough influences across Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show suppressed maxima around 30–32°C amid high humidity and widespread cloud cover, aligning with seasonal norms rather than heatwave conditions. Market-implied odds treat the IMD measurement as the resolution standard, with minimal probability assigned to deviations. A realistic challenge would require substantial forecast revisions from the Regional Meteorological Centre or unseasonal clear-sky intensification pushing readings notably above or below the 32°C threshold before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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