Trader sentiment centers on official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, during the peak rainy season, where typical August daytime maxima hover near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on August 26 that could limit peak heating, positioning 31°C as the modal outcome while 32°C remains plausible if solar insolation increases. Climatological baselines show rare exceedances above 33°C without strong subsidence or reduced moisture, explaining the sharp drop in implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated regional analyses from agencies tracking Central American conditions will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
10%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on official forecasts for Panama City, Panama, during the peak rainy season, where typical August daytime maxima hover near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms on August 26 that could limit peak heating, positioning 31°C as the modal outcome while 32°C remains plausible if solar insolation increases. Climatological baselines show rare exceedances above 33°C without strong subsidence or reduced moisture, explaining the sharp drop in implied odds beyond that threshold. Updated regional analyses from agencies tracking Central American conditions will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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