Trader consensus around the 66-67°F outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 9 reflects verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak reading at official stations. NOAA forecast models converged on this narrow range in the days leading up to the date, driven by a persistent marine layer that suppressed daytime warming under typical early-summer conditions. Climatological baselines for the first week of June show mean highs near 65–68°F with low variability, aligning with the market-implied odds. Any post-observation revision remains unlikely absent measurement discrepancies, as multiple sensors reported consistent values within the threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 9?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$32,855 Wol.
$32,855 Wol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$32,855 Wol.
$32,855 Wol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 7, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus around the 66-67°F outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 9 reflects verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak reading at official stations. NOAA forecast models converged on this narrow range in the days leading up to the date, driven by a persistent marine layer that suppressed daytime warming under typical early-summer conditions. Climatological baselines for the first week of June show mean highs near 65–68°F with low variability, aligning with the market-implied odds. Any post-observation revision remains unlikely absent measurement discrepancies, as multiple sensors reported consistent values within the threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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