Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Time and Date place Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This consensus positions 24 °C as the market leader at 49.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 23 °C and 25 °C, while outcomes above 26 °C or below 22 °C remain low-probability given stable model guidance and climatological baselines around 23 °C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs heavily, with resolution expected on official measurements the following day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 50%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
26%
24°C
50%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 26%
25°C 20%
22°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$108 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$487 Wol.
1%
22°C
$509 Wol.
4%
23°C
$705 Wol.
26%
24°C
$939 Wol.
50%
25°C
$454 Wol.
20%
26°C
$114 Wol.
3%
27°C
$38 Wol.
2%
28°C
$165 Wol.
1%
29°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$210 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Time and Date place Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This consensus positions 24 °C as the market leader at 49.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 23 °C and 25 °C, while outcomes above 26 °C or below 22 °C remain low-probability given stable model guidance and climatological baselines around 23 °C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs heavily, with resolution expected on official measurements the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,924Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Time and Date place Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This consensus positions 24 °C as the market leader at 49.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 23 °C and 25 °C, while outcomes above 26 °C or below 22 °C remain low-probability given stable model guidance and climatological baselines around 23 °C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs heavily, with resolution expected on official measurements the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,924Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Time and Date place Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This consensus positions 24 °C as the market leader at 49.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 23 °C and 25 °C, while outcomes above 26 °C or below 22 °C remain low-probability given stable model guidance and climatological baselines around 23 °C. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs heavily, with resolution expected on official measurements the following day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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