Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-06 House Election Winner
IL-06 House Election Winner
$25,343 Wol.
$25,343 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$25,343 Wol.
$25,343 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,301 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$16,042 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,343Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,343Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten commands 92.3% trader consensus for the IL-06 House seat after cruising to renomination in the March 17 primary, setting up a rematch with Republican Niki Conforti, whom he defeated by eight points in 2024. Casten's fundraising dominance—far outpacing challengers—and the Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating for this suburban Chicago district, encompassing parts of Cook and DuPage counties, drive the lopsided odds amid no public general election polls. With the November 3 ballot locked, late-breaking scandals, a national Republican midterm wave, or Conforti's unexpected resource surge could challenge this trajectory, though historical incumbent advantages in rated races favor continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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