SpaceX maintains overwhelming trader consensus for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, fueled by its elevated private valuation from recent funding rounds and Starlink's expanding satellite broadband revenue. This dominance reflects the company's mature operational scale in reusable launch systems and government contracts, which set a high bar compared to earlier-stage artificial intelligence labs. Contenders such as xAI and Anthropic show lower implied probabilities due to their focus on large language model development and more limited current capitalizations. Realistic challenges include potential delays in SpaceX's public filing timeline, shifts in regulatory approval for orbital operations, or an unexpectedly large valuation from a rival's IPO that could narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNajwiększa pierwsza oferta publiczna według pułapów rynkowych w 2026 roku?
Największa pierwsza oferta publiczna według pułapów rynkowych w 2026 roku?
SpaceX 92%
Anthropic 5.8%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,880,350 Wol.
$1,880,350 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
92%
Anthropic
6%
OpenAI
3%
Kraken
1%
Waymo
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 92%
Anthropic 5.8%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,880,350 Wol.
$1,880,350 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$230,406 Wol.
92%
Anthropic
$359,925 Wol.
6%
OpenAI
$332,178 Wol.
3%
Kraken
$386,056 Wol.
1%
Waymo
$59,355 Wol.
<1%
Discord
$82,519 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$99,874 Wol.
<1%
Stripe
$52,018 Wol.
<1%
SHEIN
$70,693 Wol.
<1%
Revolut
$52,782 Wol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$68,723 Wol.
<1%
Databricks
$85,863 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX maintains overwhelming trader consensus for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, fueled by its elevated private valuation from recent funding rounds and Starlink's expanding satellite broadband revenue. This dominance reflects the company's mature operational scale in reusable launch systems and government contracts, which set a high bar compared to earlier-stage artificial intelligence labs. Contenders such as xAI and Anthropic show lower implied probabilities due to their focus on large language model development and more limited current capitalizations. Realistic challenges include potential delays in SpaceX's public filing timeline, shifts in regulatory approval for orbital operations, or an unexpectedly large valuation from a rival's IPO that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,880,350Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX maintains overwhelming trader consensus for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, fueled by its elevated private valuation from recent funding rounds and Starlink's expanding satellite broadband revenue. This dominance reflects the company's mature operational scale in reusable launch systems and government contracts, which set a high bar compared to earlier-stage artificial intelligence labs. Contenders such as xAI and Anthropic show lower implied probabilities due to their focus on large language model development and more limited current capitalizations. Realistic challenges include potential delays in SpaceX's public filing timeline, shifts in regulatory approval for orbital operations, or an unexpectedly large valuation from a rival's IPO that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,880,350Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX maintains overwhelming trader consensus for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, fueled by its elevated private valuation from recent funding rounds and Starlink's expanding satellite broadband revenue. This dominance reflects the company's mature operational scale in reusable launch systems and government contracts, which set a high bar compared to earlier-stage artificial intelligence labs. Contenders such as xAI and Anthropic show lower implied probabilities due to their focus on large language model development and more limited current capitalizations. Realistic challenges include potential delays in SpaceX's public filing timeline, shifts in regulatory approval for orbital operations, or an unexpectedly large valuation from a rival's IPO that could narrow the gap.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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