Amir Ohana holds the leading position in the 2026 Likud Knesset list primary due to strong backing from registered party members in recent internal polls and mock votes at the Likudiada conference, where he topped informal tallies ahead of figures such as Eli Cohen and Tally Gotliv. As Knesset Speaker and longstanding Netanyahu ally, his profile aligns with activist preferences for loyalists in a crowded field of ministers and MKs competing for limited realistic slots before the October 27 general election. Primaries are scheduled no later than late July, keeping the process on track and reducing chances of delay. Lower probabilities for other candidates reflect narrower support bases among core voters, while trader pricing embeds the wisdom of crowds assessing these internal dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAmir Ohana 68%
Yariv Levin 11.8%
Tally Gotliv 8.8%
Eli Cohen 5.3%
$56,162 Wol.
$56,162 Wol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
68%
Yariv Levin
7%
Tally Gotliv
9%
Eli Cohen
5%
No Primary by Knesset Election
3%
Moshe Saada
2%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Yoav Kisch
1%
Israel Katz
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Miki Zohar
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Miri Regev
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
David Bitan
<1%
Amir Ohana 68%
Yariv Levin 11.8%
Tally Gotliv 8.8%
Eli Cohen 5.3%
$56,162 Wol.
$56,162 Wol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
$18,839 Wol.
68%
Yariv Levin
$3,778 Wol.
7%
Tally Gotliv
$9,670 Wol.
9%
Eli Cohen
$1,401 Wol.
5%
No Primary by Knesset Election
$9,670 Wol.
3%
Moshe Saada
$842 Wol.
2%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,247 Wol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$976 Wol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$869 Wol.
1%
Yoav Kisch
$801 Wol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,205 Wol.
1%
David Amsalem
$792 Wol.
1%
Miki Zohar
$644 Wol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$870 Wol.
1%
Miri Regev
$621 Wol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$2,140 Wol.
<1%
David Bitan
$800 Wol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the leading position in the 2026 Likud Knesset list primary due to strong backing from registered party members in recent internal polls and mock votes at the Likudiada conference, where he topped informal tallies ahead of figures such as Eli Cohen and Tally Gotliv. As Knesset Speaker and longstanding Netanyahu ally, his profile aligns with activist preferences for loyalists in a crowded field of ministers and MKs competing for limited realistic slots before the October 27 general election. Primaries are scheduled no later than late July, keeping the process on track and reducing chances of delay. Lower probabilities for other candidates reflect narrower support bases among core voters, while trader pricing embeds the wisdom of crowds assessing these internal dynamics.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$56,162Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana holds the leading position in the 2026 Likud Knesset list primary due to strong backing from registered party members in recent internal polls and mock votes at the Likudiada conference, where he topped informal tallies ahead of figures such as Eli Cohen and Tally Gotliv. As Knesset Speaker and longstanding Netanyahu ally, his profile aligns with activist preferences for loyalists in a crowded field of ministers and MKs competing for limited realistic slots before the October 27 general election. Primaries are scheduled no later than late July, keeping the process on track and reducing chances of delay. Lower probabilities for other candidates reflect narrower support bases among core voters, while trader pricing embeds the wisdom of crowds assessing these internal dynamics.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Wolumen
$56,162Data zakończenia
Oct 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana holds the leading position in the 2026 Likud Knesset list primary due to strong backing from registered party members in recent internal polls and mock votes at the Likudiada conference, where he topped informal tallies ahead of figures such as Eli Cohen and Tally Gotliv. As Knesset Speaker and longstanding Netanyahu ally, his profile aligns with activist preferences for loyalists in a crowded field of ministers and MKs competing for limited realistic slots before the October 27 general election. Primaries are scheduled no later than late July, keeping the process on track and reducing chances of delay. Lower probabilities for other candidates reflect narrower support bases among core voters, while trader pricing embeds the wisdom of crowds assessing these internal dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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