Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 26 low clusters around the mid-60s because official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the overnight minimum near 66–67°F amid a cold front’s passage. Southwesterly winds ahead of the front and scattered showers limit radiational cooling early, while post-frontal northwest flow and partial clearing after midnight allow modest drops. Dew points near 60°F and lingering cloud cover suppress further cooling below 62°F, keeping lower bins at single-digit implied odds. Model spread in exact front timing and sky cover creates the tight clustering across 62–73°F outcomes, with the 66–67°F bin edging ahead on current guidance. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends tonight will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
72-73°F 49%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
49%
74°F or higher
14%
72-73°F 49%
66-67°F 29%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Wol.
1%
56-57°F
$5 Wol.
8%
58-59°F
$20 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$80 Wol.
8%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
27%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
29%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
27%
72-73°F
$34 Wol.
49%
74°F or higher
$5 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 26 low clusters around the mid-60s because official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the overnight minimum near 66–67°F amid a cold front’s passage. Southwesterly winds ahead of the front and scattered showers limit radiational cooling early, while post-frontal northwest flow and partial clearing after midnight allow modest drops. Dew points near 60°F and lingering cloud cover suppress further cooling below 62°F, keeping lower bins at single-digit implied odds. Model spread in exact front timing and sky cover creates the tight clustering across 62–73°F outcomes, with the 66–67°F bin edging ahead on current guidance. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends tonight will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 26 low clusters around the mid-60s because official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the overnight minimum near 66–67°F amid a cold front’s passage. Southwesterly winds ahead of the front and scattered showers limit radiational cooling early, while post-frontal northwest flow and partial clearing after midnight allow modest drops. Dew points near 60°F and lingering cloud cover suppress further cooling below 62°F, keeping lower bins at single-digit implied odds. Model spread in exact front timing and sky cover creates the tight clustering across 62–73°F outcomes, with the 66–67°F bin edging ahead on current guidance. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends tonight will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chicago’s August 26 low clusters around the mid-60s because official forecasts from the National Weather Service place the overnight minimum near 66–67°F amid a cold front’s passage. Southwesterly winds ahead of the front and scattered showers limit radiational cooling early, while post-frontal northwest flow and partial clearing after midnight allow modest drops. Dew points near 60°F and lingering cloud cover suppress further cooling below 62°F, keeping lower bins at single-digit implied odds. Model spread in exact front timing and sky cover creates the tight clustering across 62–73°F outcomes, with the 66–67°F bin edging ahead on current guidance. Updated NWS briefings and radar trends tonight will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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