**Recent Météo-France and Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting (45%) on that exact outcome.** A post-heat-wave cooldown is underway, with a shift to lighter winds and clearer nocturnal conditions that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–26°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 14–16°C, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention; 14°C carries 24.5% and 16°C 26.5% as plausible edge cases. Historical August minima average near 15°C, so the current synoptic pattern is producing near-climatological values rather than extremes. Fresh high-resolution model runs overnight on August 5 will further tighten the range, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded at official Paris stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 45%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
45%
16°C
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 45%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
13°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$84 Wol.
1%
13°C
$127 Wol.
5%
14°C
$657 Wol.
25%
15°C
$215 Wol.
45%
16°C
$139 Wol.
27%
17°C
$849 Wol.
1%
18°C
$170 Wol.
1%
19°C
$63 Wol.
1%
20°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$60 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Météo-France and Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting (45%) on that exact outcome.**
A post-heat-wave cooldown is underway, with a shift to lighter winds and clearer nocturnal conditions that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–26°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 14–16°C, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention; 14°C carries 24.5% and 16°C 26.5% as plausible edge cases. Historical August minima average near 15°C, so the current synoptic pattern is producing near-climatological values rather than extremes. Fresh high-resolution model runs overnight on August 5 will further tighten the range, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,574Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Météo-France and Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting (45%) on that exact outcome.**
A post-heat-wave cooldown is underway, with a shift to lighter winds and clearer nocturnal conditions that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–26°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 14–16°C, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention; 14°C carries 24.5% and 16°C 26.5% as plausible edge cases. Historical August minima average near 15°C, so the current synoptic pattern is producing near-climatological values rather than extremes. Fresh high-resolution model runs overnight on August 5 will further tighten the range, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,574Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Météo-France and Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driving the market’s heaviest weighting (45%) on that exact outcome.** A post-heat-wave cooldown is underway, with a shift to lighter winds and clearer nocturnal conditions that favor radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25–26°C. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around 14–16°C, reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention; 14°C carries 24.5% and 16°C 26.5% as plausible edge cases. Historical August minima average near 15°C, so the current synoptic pattern is producing near-climatological values rather than extremes. Fresh high-resolution model runs overnight on August 5 will further tighten the range, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight low recorded at official Paris stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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