Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 Wol.
$37,942 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 Wol.
$37,942 Wol.
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
$1,027 Wol.
No
8°C
$1,624 Wol.
No
9°C
$1,143 Wol.
No
10°C
$3,179 Wol.
No
11°C
$4,066 Wol.
No
12°C
$5,964 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$13,942 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,351 Wol.
No
15°C
$944 Wol.
No
16°C
$934 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$769 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,942Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,942Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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