Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows around 26–27°C on August 26, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 55.5% for 27°C and 33% for 26°C. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light showers or thunderstorms, typically moderate radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures near climatological averages of 25–26°C. Official station data from recent days, such as the confirmed 27°C low on August 20, reflect this stable pattern without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky extremes. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate shows highs near 32–33°C paired with those lows, with minimal day-to-day shifts expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these persistent thermal conditions and the narrow uncertainty range heavily, as any deviation would likely require an atypical surge in cloudiness or precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 56%
26°C 33%
28°C 8%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
33%
27°C
56%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 33%
28°C 8%
25°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
33%
27°C
56%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows around 26–27°C on August 26, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 55.5% for 27°C and 33% for 26°C. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light showers or thunderstorms, typically moderate radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures near climatological averages of 25–26°C. Official station data from recent days, such as the confirmed 27°C low on August 20, reflect this stable pattern without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky extremes. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate shows highs near 32–33°C paired with those lows, with minimal day-to-day shifts expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these persistent thermal conditions and the narrow uncertainty range heavily, as any deviation would likely require an atypical surge in cloudiness or precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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