Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent summer warmth under regional high pressure, elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and light winds reducing mixing. Scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 24–26°C. Model consensus across agencies shows limited variability, with no incoming cold air masses or significant frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. This scientific outlook underpins the 50% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower-temperature brackets reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid evolving precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C or higher 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
40%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
50%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
25°C or higher 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
25%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
25%
19°C
$0 Wol.
25%
20°C
$0 Wol.
25%
21°C
$0 Wol.
25%
22°C
$0 Wol.
50%
23°C
$0 Wol.
50%
24°C
$0 Wol.
50%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent summer warmth under regional high pressure, elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and light winds reducing mixing. Scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 24–26°C. Model consensus across agencies shows limited variability, with no incoming cold air masses or significant frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. This scientific outlook underpins the 50% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower-temperature brackets reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid evolving precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent summer warmth under regional high pressure, elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and light winds reducing mixing. Scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 24–26°C. Model consensus across agencies shows limited variability, with no incoming cold air masses or significant frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. This scientific outlook underpins the 50% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower-temperature brackets reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid evolving precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature of 25–27°C for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by persistent summer warmth under regional high pressure, elevated humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and light winds reducing mixing. Scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops, consistent with late-August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 24–26°C. Model consensus across agencies shows limited variability, with no incoming cold air masses or significant frontal systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. This scientific outlook underpins the 50% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower-temperature brackets reflect residual uncertainty in exact overnight minimums amid evolving precipitation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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