Eduardo Riedel’s commanding position in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race stems from his incumbency as the sitting governor since 2023, combined with recent polling that places him near 54% of intended votes in first-round scenarios. Traders price his re-election odds at 92.5% because state-level surveys and voter preference data show limited traction for challengers such as Delcidio Amaral and smaller candidates, reflecting the structural advantages of name recognition, administrative record, and coalition-building in an agricultural state ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unexpectedly unified opposition front could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 6%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.9%
João Henrique Catan 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Riedel
93%
Delcidio Amaral
6%
Economista Renato Gomes
2%
João Henrique Catan
1%
Daniel Lemes
1%
Fábio Trad
1%
Lucien Rezende
1%
Jeferson Bezerra
<1%
Eduardo Riedel 93%
Delcidio Amaral 6%
Economista Renato Gomes 1.9%
João Henrique Catan 1.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Riedel
$1,698 Wol.
93%
Delcidio Amaral
$231 Wol.
6%
Economista Renato Gomes
$247 Wol.
2%
João Henrique Catan
$173 Wol.
1%
Daniel Lemes
$176 Wol.
1%
Fábio Trad
$203 Wol.
1%
Lucien Rezende
$196 Wol.
1%
Jeferson Bezerra
$203 Wol.
<1%
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel’s commanding position in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race stems from his incumbency as the sitting governor since 2023, combined with recent polling that places him near 54% of intended votes in first-round scenarios. Traders price his re-election odds at 92.5% because state-level surveys and voter preference data show limited traction for challengers such as Delcidio Amaral and smaller candidates, reflecting the structural advantages of name recognition, administrative record, and coalition-building in an agricultural state ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unexpectedly unified opposition front could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,129Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel’s commanding position in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race stems from his incumbency as the sitting governor since 2023, combined with recent polling that places him near 54% of intended votes in first-round scenarios. Traders price his re-election odds at 92.5% because state-level surveys and voter preference data show limited traction for challengers such as Delcidio Amaral and smaller candidates, reflecting the structural advantages of name recognition, administrative record, and coalition-building in an agricultural state ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unexpectedly unified opposition front could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$3,129Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Riedel’s commanding position in the Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial race stems from his incumbency as the sitting governor since 2023, combined with recent polling that places him near 54% of intended votes in first-round scenarios. Traders price his re-election odds at 92.5% because state-level surveys and voter preference data show limited traction for challengers such as Delcidio Amaral and smaller candidates, reflecting the structural advantages of name recognition, administrative record, and coalition-building in an agricultural state ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. A late scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unexpectedly unified opposition front could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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